Value for USD

As I had a long - trade with BTC open from 24th of October to 1st of November there was a chance for getting additional money from Bitcoin Gold. Although Bitcoin Gold is not supported by Etoro I would ask the support team for the money created by the Bitcoin Gold fork if the price was high enough. However the current futures market shows that a Bitcoin Gold coin is worth only 110 USD today so we talk about a 1,833% payment. See:  http://t3n.de/news/bitcoin-gold-preis-eingebrochen-870918/ The question remains if this is worth to open a support case to ask for the 1,833% payment for Bitcoin Gold today. Therefore this short blog article about Bitcoin Gold gets posted on Etoro to get an answer to this question. No Wallet - No Way To Sell The Bitcoin Gold I posted my thoughts on Etoro and got an interesting answer by the community that there is not even a wallet currently available for Bitcoin Gold. That means that Etoro currently can't sell a Bitcoin Gold anyway. Therefore I t

The S & P 500 reaches new all time high price levels as the end of the year 2017 comes closer. The biggest question is how long this bull market will continue and if stocks are overvalued or priced fairly at current stock prices. Although we are in the second longest bull market and statistically we are overdue for a bigger market correction I will explain why my personal oppinion to the market outlook is still bullish and why I think that we will reach S & P 500 index price levels of 2660 by the year end and even price levels of 3000 in the year 2018. (See: https://www.finanzen100.de/finanznachrichten/wirtschaft/zweitlaengste-hausse-aller-zeiten-wie-lange-koennen-anleger-diesen-bullenmarkt-noch-reiten-statistisch-sieht-es-mau-aus-aber_H1064755389_331333/ ) Decision To Reduce Risks Involved I decided to take the profit of the X25 leveraged investment in the S & P 500 index and change it to a X1 leveraged investment in the S & P 500 index. This is mainly becau

Overview Of Annual Financing Costs Here is a short overview of the annual financing costs of the CFDs in the portfolio. S & P 500: 3,726% Citigroup: 5,475% BRK.B: 6,08% BAC: 4,56% KHC: 17,52% Decision To Change KHC From Leverage X2 To Leverage X1 But With 3,2 Times More Capital As the short - medium term development of my X2 - leveraged KHC trade was negative and stock prices got even lower I decided to allocate more capital into the KHC trade and eliminate the annual financing costs of KHC. The long term outlook for this stock is still great. My first copy trader Gordon Roth who invested some capital into my strategy should fully benefit from this trade as I did not raise capital. There was a cash position waiting for the opportunity to buy into Citigroup at a stock price at 68$ when Gordon copied my portfolio. However Citigroup did not reach that low price target to allocate more capital towards Citigroup so that capital was applied to this KHC trade.

Current Stock Price: 21,63$ Dividend: 0,18$ per Month (2,16$ per Year = 10% Dividend Yield) Financing Costs (Leverage) On Etoro: 7,5% per Year Yearly Index Values Returns Of REITs The yearly index values returns of REITs show the financial crisis which was caused by falling housing prices in combination with a high FED funds rate so that the US real estate owners could not afford the credit payments any longer. You can find 2 years of negative price developments in the real estate markets across all different kinds of real estates in the US. (See:  https://www.reit.com/investing/index-data/annual-index-values-returns ) US Housing Market Index And Health Status Of US Real Estate Markets Although housing prices are as high as 2007 before the crisis the real estate owners and new home builders see the outlook for their housing prices bright. The US HMI (Housing Market Index) shows how many real estate owners think that housing prices will continue to rise and that they will get

A Word On Removed Pictures On This Blog On 10th of October I started this blog. From 10th of October to 21st of October I used some pictures of different web - sites and thought that would be a good idea because i can conserve the information i used for my decision making process. In addition I added the source link where you can find those pictures and read through the articles on your own. However I decided to remove those pictures after a few days again because of good reasons. 1) Actuality Is More Important Than Conservation On The Stock Markets I currently think that you may be served better with the links to the web pages because those articles and web pages might be updated by the provider with new information and actual numbers. 2) Legal Aspects I used proper picture / table citation mechanics and always added the source where you can find the picture. However the authors might still not like to find pictures of their own articles on my blog for the following reasons.

Deutsche Bank Current Price: 16,73$ Too Big To Fail Candidate No Current Investments (No Trades Open For Deutsche Bank) Earnings Show No Recovery Yet Deutsche Bank had 0,40€ earnings / share the last two quarters. You can see the overall picture of the stock price and earnings per share in the following link: See:  http://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/DB/pe-ratio/deutsche-bk-ag-pe-ratio-history Soon Deutsche Bank Could Become Too Big To Fail Version 2.0 In Europe From the picture above you can clearly see that Deutsche Bank is not in recovery mode yet. However they are not deep enough in the crisis so that Angela Merkel decides a "Too Big To Fail" program for Deutsche Bank. Therefore my advice is to put Deutsche Bank on a watchlist and watch the stock price going lower or stay flat at current price levels. See:  https://www.capital.de/wirtschaft-politik/die-deutsche-bank-wichtiger-als-Griechenland The too big to fail principle is increasingly interes

I calculated if my current asset allocation with 43% cash at 0% performance covers the inflation and it does with 2,9% performance at a yearly inflation of 2,6%. However if EUR / USD prices go back to 1,09 then my stocks investment in the US would be at a yearly performance of 21,4% or 12,2% on total capital. Current Yearly EUR Inflation: 2,6% Current Performance On Total Capital Without New CFD - Goals: 57% Stocks at 5,1% performance in EUR, 21,4% performance in USD 43% Cash at 0% Performance EUR Performance Without CFD Speculations: 2,9% You can see an overview of yearly inflations of Litauen, Estland, Lettland, Austria, Spain, Germany, EU, Italy and Greece on the following web page: https://www.msn.com/de-at/finanzen/maerkte/in-%c3%b6sterreich-verliert-geld-schneller-an-wert/ar-AAtEw8S?li=AAaVEHq&ocid=spartanntp The EZB Target Of 2%+ Inflation And Negative Interest Rates We currently have low to negative interest rates for credit in the EU. As long as the 2% inf

Current Price: 0,146$ Capital Investment: Not Invested - No Trade Open My friend Michael invested into GreatCell Solar in hopes that shareholders will take great profits when all the R & D on Perovskite solar cells finally results in products produced and revenues for the company. GreatCell Solar recently rebranded themselves from Dyesol to GreatCell causing a lot of confusion on the stock exchanges because they also changed their ticker abbrevation for the stock. Currently GreatCell Solar (former Dyesol) burns cash by developing new 3rd generation solar cells with the new perovskite technology. GreatCell Solar is a small cap company and I analysed it mainly because I was interested in my friends investment. Perovskite Solar Cells If you are interested in Perovskite solar cells and how these cells could revolutionize the market you can check out the following two articles: https://www.huffingtonpost.com/clayton-b-cornell/perovskite-solar-cell-key_b_11069628.html https://w

Current Price: 113,83$ Open: 114$ Target: 140$ Stop Loss: 0,45$ Take Profit: 352,46$ S/L and T/P are set basically to avoid machine based trading! Leverage: X1 Capital Investment: 17,42% of Etoro capital or 0,8% of total capital Dividend: 4,28$ per year (3,73% dividend yield) Philip Morris Is A Safe Investment For The Next Crisis As I think that the next financial crisis will come (we are jumping from crisis to crisis) I searched for a safe value Investment of companies which were not affected largely by the financial crisis. I found Philip Morris and analysed the chart of this Company. On 22nd of August 2008 Philip Morris peaked at 55,57$. On 6th of March 2009 Philip Morris had a low of 33,34$. That is 60% of its value in 2008 or a decline of 40% and the company share prices quickly recovered after that decline in the following years. At the same time the S & P 500 peaked on 12th of October 2007 at 1561,80$ and had a low on 6th of March 2009 at 683,38$ to about 4

Current Price: 46,12$ Open: 45,99$ Stop Loss: 0,09$ Take Profit: 142,38$ S/L and T/P are basically set to avoid machine trading! Leverage: X1 Capital Investment: 17,42% of Etoro capital or 0,8% of total capital Dividend: 0,37$ per Quarter, 1,48$ per Year (3,2% dividend yield on invested capital) Coca Cola Is A Safe Investment For The Next Crisis As I think that the next financial crisis will come (we are jumping from crisis to crisis) I searched for a safe value Investment of companies which were not affected largely by the financial crisis. I found Coca Cola and analysed the chart of this company. In January 2008 Coca Cola peaked at a share price of about 30,58$ per share. In February 2009 the lowest watermark of this share price was 22$. So your stock assets were at 72% of the value of 2008 before the crisis. This is a decline of 28% and the company quickly recovered the following years. At the same time the S & P 500 peaked on 12th of October 2007 at 1561,80$ and h

Current Price: 77,68$ Open: 78,31$ Stop Loss: 49,02$ Target: 97$ Leverage: X2 Capital Investment: 8,71% of Etoro capital, 0,04% of total capital EPS 1st of July 2017: 0,95 , 1st of April 2017: 0,73 , 3rd of July 2016: 0,63 (+30% QoQ, +50% YoY) Book value per share: 1st of July 2017: 47,86$ , 1st of April 2017: 47,536$ , 3rd of July 2016: 47,799$ (+0,68% QoQ, +0,13% YoY) Share Price: 3rd of July 2017: 84,47$ , 3rd of April 2017: 91,06$ , 1st of July 2016: 88,24$ (-7,24% QoQ, -4,3% YoY, -8,1% since 3rd of July 2017) The EPS forecast for this quarter is 0,82$. Kraft Heinz Company trades at a low 1,63 price to book ratio although it has solid EPS growth. The stock trades close to a three years low of 1,46 P/B ratio. Back then the EPS was at 0,44$ so half of current EPS. Therefore it looks undervalued at current stock price levels. (See:  https://www.gurufocus.com/term/pb/NAS:KHC/PB-Ratio/The-Kraft-Heinz-Co ) Due Diligence About Ownership Kraft Heinz has a 62,75% inst

S & P 500 Index CFD Current Price: 2570,12$ Open: 2550,73$ Stop Loss: 2448,75 (-4% from Open, -4,72% from Current Price) Target: 3000$ (2660$ until 31st of December 2017) Leverage: X25 Capital Investment: 6,97% of Etoro Capital, 0,3% of total capital Annual Financing Costs: 3,726% From a technical analyses point of view we see the following situation in the S & P 500 index. Supports and Resistances: 2650 2595 2570 (2485) (2460) (2420) See:  http://technicalanalysis.info/spx500-daily-analysis-forecast-october-1213-2017/ The stop loss of this strategic Investment is basically set to 100% of the capital investment to avoid machine selling on drawbacks lower than the maximum drawback of 2017 so far. The markets in S & P 500 trade like its 1995. The maximum drawback of the first half year of 2017 was -2,8% from March 1st to April 13th. So there is some safety to -4% of the set stop loss of this trade. This safety increases as share prices rise of cause so t

BAC - Bank of America Current Price: 25,83$ Leverage: X5 Stop Loss Limit: 22$ Target: 29,70$ Annual Financing Costs: 4,56% Here are the interesting numbers of Bank of America to me Diluted EPS: 13.10.2016: 0,41 18.7.2017: 0,46   13.10.2017: 0,49 (+4,3% QoQ, +17% YoY) Book value: 13.10.2016: 24,19 18.7.2017: 24,88 13.10.2017: 23,92 (-2,8% QoQ, +1,1% YoY) Share price:  13.10.2016: 16,00 18.7.2017: 23,90 13.10.2017: 25,83 (+8% QoQ, +61% YoY) Due Diligence On Ownership Bank of America has a 62,71% ownership by large financial management institutions. The biggest one is Blackrock Inc. See: http://www.nasdaq.com/de/symbol/bac/ownership-summary Balance Sheet Analyses ROE: 7,02% Equity Ratio: 12% P/B: 1,2 P/E: 16,4 A Final Word In Regards Of Risks Involved If you are new on this blog please read through the introduction (the big picture) before following my strategy and advises. You can find this introduction here . Comparison of Value per Sh

Daytraders - Do not invest into daytrading or copy them All of human unhappiness comes from one single thing: not knowing how to remain at rest in a room. - Blaise Pascal Some traders are proud of their daily earnings of closed contracts (preferable CFDs) with high returns. I advice you not to follow or copy those daytraders for very good reasons. On CFD brokers you pay a spread for every trade you open or close. In easy words that means your closing price will always be worse than the opening price at the same market price. The resulting difference is profit for the broker. The more often you trade the more profit the broker will earn from you no matter if you loose money or make profits.  Why do you suppose the brokers on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange always cheer at the sound of the closing bell - no matter what the market did that day? Because whenever you trade, they make Money - whether you did or not. By speculating instead of investing, you lower your

BTC - Bitcoin: HOLD until 25th of October 2017 Current Share Price: 5650$ Leverage: X1 Stop Loss: 0,01$ Target: 16.000$ On 1st of November 2017 investors get free Bitcoin Gold coins for every Bitcoin they hold on 25th of October 2017 in their wallets. The last fork to Bitcoin Cash (similar method with free coins) created earnings of around 10% cash because 1 Bitcoin is about 0.1 Bitcoin Cash in value. In expectations of another 10% cash return on investment bitcoin prices skyrocket because investors worldwide buy into bitcoins. I don't know how to set a target for the bitcoin price until 25th of October 2017 but I bought bitcoins 15 days ago at 4198.97$ and they trade now at 5631.2$. To avoid any automatic sales (e.g. because of glitches) I therefore set the stop loss to 0,01$ and the take profit price to 16.000$. My portfolio shows a current profit of 34.11% which is very nice and I expect this strategy to work very well for the coming weeks until I get the free coins.

Citigroup  Current Share Price: 72,18$ Leverage: X5 Stop Loss: 64,65$ Target: 83$ Annual Financing Costs: 5,475% I heared several arguments why the citigroup share declined after the better than expected earnings report of 12th of October 2017. The best argument I can understand is that there was some profit taking by investors (hedge fonds, etc.). However the fundamentals do not support that decline from 12th of October 2017 (75,83$) to 13th of October 2017 (72,11$). The second best argument I got was the increase in cost of credit argument. Here are the numbers: Increase in Total Costs of Credit from 1,717 to 1,999 QoQ. (+16%) Expenses down from 10,506 to 10,171 QoQ (-3%) Revenues up from 17,901 to 18,173 QoQ (+2%) Resulting in a Net Income increase from 3,872 to 4,133 QoQ (+7%) The cost of credit argument is a bad measurement for future expectations as hurricans come and go in America and so does the cost of credit change. You can really see the improvements by the m

A Brief Introduction To Intelligent Financial Investments by Bernhard Mähr When I was 18 years old I bought my first Investment Fonds at Erste Bank and learned from my favorite bank adviser about the cost average effect and invested with a monthly small payment into an Erste Bank Fond. 20 years later I still work as a Software Developer for ERP Software and studied Economics and Science at the University. In my studies I learned a lot about companies, Management and to read balance sheets and financial statements. That knowledge helps me a lot nowadays when I want to pick the right stock. With my money I earned additional USD not only from my monthly salary but from a cost average effect investment throughout the financial crisis from 2008 - 2017. In addition I earn some money with trainings (see www.laendlekurs.com ). My favorite bank adviser however changed from an Erste Bank sales person to Warren Buffet or better to some wisdom of the book "The Intelligent Investor" b

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