Posts

Added even more selling of the S & P 500 - Corona Crisis not over, housing market doesn't look good as well and possibly CLO crisis ahead?

Are you serious? We are in the middle of a corona crisis and the S & P 500 trades at only 10% down from its all time high? I think I might have been a little wrong with the timing of my first sellings in the S & P 500 regarding the recent bull run. However this recent bull run could very easily be a bull trap - we don't know! All we know is that the FED adds to the debt a lot. See:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TP44g_R_TkM We have a 31% increase of the S & P 500 after a 35% decline. For over 2 years I expected a CLO crisis because we were already in a debt crisis in 2018 from my point of view. Companies were highly leveraged already in 2018 and 2020 the situation is only worse. I always thought all it takes is a shock to the economy and the crisis will unfold similar to the CMO crisis back then in 2007 / 2008. However it seems to be the case that I am not the only person who recognized this problem. Read the following Harvard Review article and you will under

Short Selling the S & P 500

I might think we have another 1929 and the bubble bursts. The last few days I therefore built up CFD's to speculate on the bear market as a trend following strategy. As a first target I see the S & P 500 at about 2000 but it could easily overshoot down to 1500 or even further as there might be even more panic on wall street. As it doesn't make sense any more to hold shares of KHC I liquidated all shares of KHC.

Cheating with your free eyeball test

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This free eyeball test can be purchased at the moment for 0 Pound Sterling. Your free eyeball test has the advantage that you can not only do it at home but you can also very easily do cheating with that test. If you analyse the text you will find out that the test contains words that are simply put next to each other. Here are the words so you can learn it by heart: THE WORLD IN 2020 TRUMP BREXIT AI TOKYO MARS CLIMATE XI = Xi Jinping, President of China RECESSION MOD = Subculture or modification of a software IE = Internet Explorer XP = Windows XP, an operation that has no support since April 2009 OS = Operation System DGS BOND = A financial instrument that should provide interest with a certain risk of financial loss BEETHOVEN (VISION)S BIO DIVERSITY RAT = In German a counsel of people who seem to be important, In English a small animal that covers in the sewerage NPT = Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons WARREN = Warren Buffet RAPHAEL

The hoax of economic growth from a god's perspective

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Did you know that it is very hard to impress a god? Let's check together how God views the economic growth. God never measures wealth in paper money. For all gods the meat and meal of the gods always were gold and will always stay gold. Humanity can print as much paper money as they want but this will never ever impress a god. So let us check how economic growth can be measured with this perspective of a god. In 1929 before the great crises you could buy the S & P 500 index for almost exactly the same amount of gold as in 2020. Now this 90 years cycle, a cycle of a generation, is complete and it is possibly time for another black swan event regarding paper money that becomes worthless over time. From a god's perspective economic growth measured in gold is a hoax and it all comes down to the mastery of printing money. Do you dare to own gold? How dare you? It is the food of the gods, the meat of the gods! If the gods allow you to own gold you are temporarily allow

Increased holdings in KHC and gained from the XRP rally the last days

The XRP plan and results The plan was to trade XRP between 0.50$ and 1.0$. However such plans tend to not work out as expected because XRP left this trading range below 0.50$ down to prices at 0.20$. Therefore there was an additional investment into XRP at these low prices that was at a much higher percentage of the overall fund than initially planned. In recent days this bold strategy paid off. Currently XRP trades at 0.33$ and lots of trading positions could be closed with a 20% performance or more. These closed positions mean that we sit on a bigger cash position today. Other crypto currencies like Ethereum and Bitcoin Cash also had a rally and some positions were closed there too raising the cash. Part of the cash invested into KHC The drop of the share prices of KHC was a welcomed opportunity to invest more into KHC. With the money from the closed XRP positions I bought into KHC at prices of 26.75$. I believe we could see a turnaround of this company in 2020-2021.

Added Bitcoin Cash and Ethereum positions

Currently we see Bitcoin on the rise. I assume that the other crypto currencies will follow Bitcoin as they did not have the same performance as Bitcoin yet. Therefore I bought small positions in Bitcoin Cash and Ethereum to participate in the current crypto currency trend. We will see...

Increased stock holdings in KHC

On monday the 25th of February 2019 I decided to increase my stock holdings in KHC to 30% of the total value of this Etoro portfolio. Stock markets are tremendously overvalued with the exception of KHC which took a big hit on Friday after bad news. However the profitability of this company is solid and it is trading at very low P/E ratios. Also Warren Buffet decided not to sell stocks of KHC in this bad news situation. Call me crazy but I rather invest into undervalued stocks like KHC that took a big hit than into the overvalued rest of the stock market. See:  https://www.gurufocus.com/news/821915/kraftheinz-khc-buy-the-dip See:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UMZNQ2_Y2x8