Amazon - Value Analyse

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I got interested in Amazon's recent price developments and analysed Amazon from a value investor point of view.

EPS - Growth over last 6 Years = 28,7% p.a.
EPS 2017: 6,32 USD
AAA Corporate Bonds: 3,87% p.a.

INTRINSIC VALUE = 6,32 * (8,5 + 28,7*2) * 4,4 / 3,87 = 473,50 USD

However as Amazon reinvests everything into expansion the EPS measure is not really a good measure to evaluate this company. The revenue growth is a better measure for this company.

Revenue per Share 2013: 160,75 USD     Share Price: 398,79 USD    P/R: 2,48
Revenue per Share 2014: 192,61 USD     Share Price: 310,35 USD    P/R: 1,61
Revenue per Share 2015: 224,34 USD     Share Price: 675,89 USD    P/R: 3,01
Revenue per Share 2016: 280,97 USD     Share Price: 768,66 USD    P/R: 2,74
Revenue per Share 2017: 360,79 USD     Share Price: 1169,47 USD  P/R: 3,24

Average P/R = 2,62

Current Share Price: 1572,62 USD    P/R: 4,36

You can clearly see that Amazon currently is at its peak of share price through revenue per share. Therefore I would consider Amazon at current prices an overvalued stock. It is 67% overvalued from a revenue perspective. From my analyses Amazon's fair share price is at about 1000 USD.


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